I look at it this way. They won't eat if they aren't hungry and they won't be hungry if their metabolism is too slow. Carp have been feeding themselves in the wild without our help or interference for millenia. Their metabolism knows when they can and should eat and when they should not. Our only real concern is with water quality as our ponds are a closed system. If we overfeed (or attempt to) the minimal biological activity in our filters would cause toxic water conditions and THAT is the primary danger to Koi in cold water. "Keep your water well and your water will keep your fish".
When I check the mechanical filtration on my pond in the winter guess what I find. Green Algae Turds

...LOTS of them. Supplimenting the algae (roughage) with a few pellets as their appetites accelerate doesn't harm them and we dont' have any health issues.
If I tossed food in the pond right now a few of them might eat a pellet or two, but no more than that as the water is around 40-45 deg (it snowed again yesterday and more is on the way). At around 45 deg they become more active and munch on the algae in the deepest part of the pond... which stays VERY short. A few degrees more and they come into the shallower water to graze. If they graze in the shallows more than a day or two I'll go ahead and feed them sparingly to suppliment the algae.
I wish we could have some underwater cameras on one of the frozen over, snow topped mud ponds in Niigata with only an air hole or two to keep the gases vented off. If we could watch the Koi under the ice I'll bet we would see them rooting in the mud bottom for worms, etc... Could it be that the success of Dianichi's long winter fast is just as much a body building exercise via foraging as it is a semi-bolemic diet???
