More food for thought:
1. Would you rather pay $500 for a certified female JT (90% certainty) or pay $150 for a regular sized koi whose sex is unknown (we all know that these are mostly males) or are almost finished?
2. I must admit that koi do catch up over time. But my question to fellow KBers is do they completely catch up to their siblings? For example, a true tategoi in breeder's care reaches 30" in 5yrs and maximal potential size of 36" at 7-10yrs of age. Now, would a JT with the same identical size genetic be able to reach 36" in her lifetime if raised in a hobbyist's pond from ake nisai on? I don't know the answer to this question but would speculate from what I know that the JT raised in hobbyist's pond from JT on would never reach 36". In fact I would be surprised if she even reaches the 30" mark.
3. Price is all relative. In other words, would I rather pay $3K for a JT or wait until the koi is nisai under breeder's care then pay $3k for that same koi? The answer is a no-brainer. However, given what I know about the breeder's stock and genetics, would I be willing to invest $500 in a certified female JT knowing that a nisai of similar quality would fetch $2-3K? This definitely depends on one's wallet thickness.
4. I would agree that it's more of a marketing gimmick. But one must understand that it takes more investment to get a koi to 12-14" by this time than keeping tosai stunted at 8-10" over winter d/t electrical/gas and food cost.
IMO, everything's relative and it boils down to supply and demand. In other words, if JT cost too much then no one will buy them.....well, there's always those few wealthy hobbyists out there. This is why it's best to educate yourself to be able to judge conformation, quality, and sex at a young age. It is also best to know what your objective is, whether it's to have a pond full of grand champion potentials or just nice quality females to relax at pondside or a pond full of males. Besides, not everyone can afford a $3K or great nisai (I know I can't ;-)!).
Given what I know about this hobby so far, I am still a firm believer in quality over quantity. That is, I would rather save up for one nice nisai than several decent certified female JT or several dozen regular sized tosai. It's all relative, my friends. It's all relative.
